What is Polymarket?
The world's largest prediction market platform
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market platform where you can trade on the outcome of real-world events. From politics to crypto, sports to technology — if it can be resolved with a yes or no, there's probably a market for it.
Each share is priced between 0¢ and 100¢, reflecting the crowd's estimated probability. Buy low, sell high, or hold until resolution — it's up to you.
Live Markets on Polymarket
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 14%NO 86%
$$3.8M volTrade on Polymarket →
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 0%NO 100%
$$3.4M volTrade on Polymarket →
Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 0%NO 100%
▼ 0.1%$$2.6M volTrade on Polymarket →
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 1%NO 99%
$$1.9M volTrade on Polymarket →