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Netanyahu out by March 31?1%US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?23%Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?0%Lakers vs. Pistons54%Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%US forces enter Iran by March 31?12%Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?0%Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?1%Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?99%Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?0%Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?0%Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?100%Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?99%Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?41%Netanyahu out by March 31?1%US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?23%Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?0%Lakers vs. Pistons54%Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%US forces enter Iran by March 31?12%Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?0%Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?1%Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?99%Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?0%Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?0%Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?100%Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?99%Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?41%
PREDMARKET

Daily Brief

2026-03-21

Top Movers

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 1%NO 99%
▼ 3.0%
$$556k volTrade on Polymarket →
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 23%NO 77%
▲ 2.0%
$$616k volTrade on Polymarket →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 95%NO 5%
▲ 2.0%
$$551k volTrade on Polymarket →
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 99%NO 1%
▼ 1.5%
$$1.0M volTrade on Polymarket →
Senators vs. Rangers

Senators vs. Rangers

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 64%NO 36%
▲ 1.5%
$$523k volTrade on Polymarket →

Highest Volume

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 1%NO 99%
$$4.2M volTrade on Polymarket →
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 23%NO 77%
$$3.8M volTrade on Polymarket →
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 1%NO 99%
$$3.7M volTrade on Polymarket →
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 1%NO 99%
$$3.1M volTrade on Polymarket →
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 1%NO 99%
$$2.6M volTrade on Polymarket →

Ending Soon

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 2%NO 98%
▼ 0.5%
$$7k volTrade on Polymarket →
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 42%NO 58%
$$3k volTrade on Polymarket →
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 18%NO 82%
$$921 volTrade on Polymarket →
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 2%NO 98%
▼ 5.3%
$$244k volTrade on Polymarket →
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Odds from Polymarket's live prediction market
YES 44%NO 56%
$$1 volTrade on Polymarket →